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Showing posts with label Lands. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lands. Show all posts

Monday, June 16, 2014

On Ravaged Tar Sands Lands, Big Challenges for Reclamation

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by ed struzik
When Alberta’s oil sands industry marked its 40th anniversary in 2007, one statistic stood out among the many that measure economic success and environmental impact: Not a single acre of mined land had been certified as being "reclaimed" to government standards.
Since then, major bitumen-mining companies such as Suncor and Syncrude have spent an enormous amount of time, money, and public relations effort to convince the public that they
Less than one square mile of land disturbed by tar sands mining has been certified as reclaimed.
have returned disturbed lands to a state that is "equal or better than pre-disturbance conditions." The companies have filled in giant mine pits, replanted trees, engineered marshes, and brought in bison to graze on boreal shrublands that have been manufactured from excavated earth and wetland vegetation. Today, however, less than one square mile of the 296 square miles of land that has been disturbed by tar sands development has been certified as being reclaimed by the province of Alberta. Standing in the way of certification are poorly defined government guidelines on wetland reclamation and the absence of clear company plans Alberta tar sands destruction Jennifer Grant/The Pembina InstituteOil sands mining involves stripping the earth's surface to depths of up to 250 feet. showing how reclamation can be achieved and evaluated.
The challenges of restoring a landscape uprooted by the destructive practice of oil sands mining — which involves strip mining the earth to depths of up to 250 feet — are enormous. Oil sands mining occurs primarily in complex wetland ecosystems of boreal swamps, bogs, and peatland fens that were formed over thousands of years and harbor a significant amount of biodiversity. Many experts doubt whether it’s technically or even economically possible to recreate on a large scale anything resembling the sensitive environments that existed there in the past. Even if were possible, others wonder whether climate change and rapidly expanding tar sands development in Canada — the volume of tar sands mining is expected to nearly double by 2021 — will sabotage efforts to accomplish this on a broad scale in the future.
"I call these reclamation claims by both government and industry a form of greenwashing," says Suzanne Bayley, a wetlands ecologist at the University of Alberta who recently co-wrote a paper on massive peatland losses in the tar sands region. "What land the industry has reclaimed so far may look good in newspaper, magazine, and television ads, but it is not the wetland-rich landscape that was once dominated by forested and shrubby fens."
Lee Foote, a University of Alberta wetlands ecologist who has worked with the tar sands industry and advised the Alberta government on wetland reclamation policies, agrees that reclamation has so far been done more for public show than to create viable ecosystems.
"The mindset is to throw big dollars at engineering designer wetlands that are green but not nearly as functional as what was there in the past," says Foote. "The main aim is to get the social license that is needed for these companies to continue operating."
While Suncor officials say it is too soon to determine whether their land reclamation efforts will be successful, they are optimistic that peatland fens can be engineered. Initial pilot projects look promising, the company says.
"It’s easy to label something impossible that’s never been done before, and constructing a fen falls into that category," says Suncor spokesperson Kelli Stevens. "But we’re trying because we thought it was important to do so. We’ll see through the course of the monitoring phase how successful we are. But so far, early monitoring tells us that we are on the right track." Typical fen plants — including sedges, moss, grasses, and shrubs — have successfully established, she notes. If the fen continues to support wetland
The phrasing of restoration legislation is so vague it fails to hold industry accountable.
plants and sufficient water, and eventually accumulates peat, she says, "This pilot fen will be deemed a success." The issue of reclamation in the tar sands region has been a source of debate since the 1970s, when the Alberta government invested $100 million in creating the now defunct Alberta Oil Sands Technology and Research Authority to kickstart more commercial tar sands developments.
Even then, scientists involved in the research warned that the "future oil sands will probably be built without adequate knowledge about the possible effects on the air, water, and soil of the surrounding countryside, or the impact on various methods of land reclamation."
What followed were mounting environmental liabilities such as giant effluent ponds, denuded landscapes, and diminishing plant and wildlife populations. The Canadian and Alberta governments ignored these until indigenous people living downstream of the tar sands began exerting treaty rights and launching court challenges. Faced with growing legal exposure, as well as public pressures, the government of Alberta set out wetland compensation guidelines in 2007 directing companies to re-establish "a naturally occurring wetland with a functioning natural ecosystem whose characteristics are as close as possible to conditions prior to drainage or other alteration."
While it sounded promising at the time, the phrasing of the guidelines have proved to be so vague that almost everyone agrees they lack a legal definition and therefore fail to hold industry accountable. Instead of recreating peatland fens, industry has in most cases engineered swamps that are not nearly as biologically complex.
Before tar sands companies arrived on the scene, peatland fens comprised at least fifty percent, and possibly as much two-thirds, of the region's boreal landscape. These fens supported a wide range of plants, including many of western Canada’s wild and rarest orchids; hundreds of species of birds; untold number of insect species; as well as a range of large mammals, including woodland caribou, moose, wolves, and grizzly bears. No one
Restored swamps lack the biodiversity of a peatland ecosystem and do not sequester carbon nearly as effectively.
knows how biologically diverse these ecosystems were because inventories and assessments were never conducted. Until a few years ago, recreating peatland fens — which also play a vital ecological role by filtering water and sequestering enormous amounts of carbon — was thought to be impossible. Peatland fen restoration would require water and soil chemistries that develop only when groundwater flows through nutrient-rich layers of sphagnum and other mosses that have decomposed over millennia.
Rather than try to recreate what was there in the past, industry hired reclamation experts to replace them with upland forests and shrubland marshes capable of tolerating the salts, metals, and acids that are generated by oil sands mining and are present in the disturbed soils and in the groundwater flowing through them.
These swamps may look good in pictures, and they are capable of supporting some ducks and other nesting waterfowl. But they lack the biodiversity of a peatland ecosystem and do not sequester carbon nearly as effectively, wetland ecologists say. This is especially important because landscape changes caused by currently approved tar sands mining operations will release 11.4 million to 47.3 million metric tons of carbon, according to a study by the University of Alberta’s Bayley and her colleagues. These changes will also reduce the former wetlands’ ability to sequester carbon by as much as 7.2 million metric tons annually.
"These losses have not been previously quantified," says Bayley. "They should be included with the already high estimates of carbon emissions that the oil sands industry is responsible for."
Faced with growing concerns and protests over tar sands development, the Alberta government is demanding that industry reclaim more peatland fens. But given that his has not been done before, the government must be content for now to see what can be accomplished on a pilot scale. Costs for wetland reclamation, says Foote, are high, with estimates ranging from $4
'You cannot recreate what took thousands of years to form,' says one scientist.
to $13 billion, or about 6 percent of the net profits generated from mining those sites. "When you have $300 billion of infrastructure and a huge pipeline of income coming out of that area, the social benefits derived from a relatively small area of wetland are dwarfed," says Foote. "That’s why wetlands will continue to be pushed to the side and put on the backburner. Industry will spend a lot of money trying to engineer something similar to what was there in the past, but it will fail because you can not recreate what takes thousands of years to form."
University of Waterloo hydrologist Jonathan Price is one of a group of scientists from across Canada who recently received $6.7 million in government and industry funding to restore tar sands lands on Suncor property. The blueprint for reclamation includes trucking in stored peat, building an aquifer, diverting water, and physically separating oil tailings dumps from the fens so that the contaminants — more than 840 billion liters of toxic fluid byproducts are currently being held in open reservoirs — don’t leach into the groundwater.
Price acknowledges that it will take at least a decade or more to see concrete results and a lifetime before anyone can declare success. He also doubts that it will be economically feasible to do this on a large scale. But doing nothing, he cautions, is not the way to move forward.
"Engineering a landscape such as this requires a huge range of intellectual and academic disciplines," says Price. "Attempting to do it makes you appreciate just how complicated and precious this environment is and how difficult it is to recreate. But the fact is resource extraction is inevitable. We’re trying to make the best out of a difficult situation."
Ecologist Brett Purdy worked on oil sands reclamation for the Alberta government before he moved to Alberta Innovates — Energy and Environment Solutions, a research organzation funded by the provincial
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READ MOREgovernment. He suggests that it may be unrealistic to expect that plant and animal communities similar to those found on previously undisturbed landscapes can be established on all reclaimed landscapes. Purdy’s view of the future is not unlike that espoused by the character played by Kevin Costner in the movie Field of Dreams





: If you build it, says Purdy, they — plants, insects, and animals — will come, provided there is enough resiliency in the natural systems. It won't be the same as it was before, he acknowledges, but it will be a viable boreal ecosystem.
Bayley maintains that the Environmental Protection Security Fund — established several years ago to ensure that resource companies reclaim oil sands land — is insufficient to deal with liabilities should a tar sands company fail to meet its obligations. Currently, the fund contains $875 million for more than 70,000 hectares of disturbed land. According to the Pembina Institute, an environmental watchdog and industry consulting service, it would cost more than $15 billion to reclaim these lands.
"Like it or not, the reclamation debt is growing and it will continue to grow as oil sands companies move to double production," says Bayley. "If this continues without a clear wetlands reclamation policy, we will have more than 65 percent less peatland and very little of the plant and animal life that existed there in the past."
POSTED ON 27 Mar 2014 IN Business & Innovation Energy Forests Oceans Policy & Politics Pollution & Health Pollution & Health Water North America North America
ed struzikABOUT THE AUTHOR
Canadian author and photographer Ed Struzik has been writing on the Arctic for three decades. In previous articles for Yale Environment 360, he has explored threats to Canada's Peace-Athabasca Delta and causes of a decline in Arctic bird populations.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014

Mining Showdown in Andes Over Unique Páramo Lands

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by chris kraul
Climbing a narrow, switchback road carved into a sheer Andean mountainside, my 4-wheel-drive Jeep slowly rose past the tree line to an elevation of 10,000 feet. There the gravel road ended and I found myself on the fringe of Colombia’s Santurbán páramo
, one of the world’s strangest ecosystems.
Walking out on a windswept, frigid swamp, with clouds swirling overhead, I slowly took in the eerie páramo landscape as brief bursts of sunlight
View Gallery
Paramo landscape
Páramos are found in four countries in the Andes, including here in western Venezuela.broke through the gloom. Dotted with lakes, the páramo was covered in grasses and scrubby plants. Like 34 other high-elevation, neotropical ecosystems that make up Colombia’s archipelago of páramos, Santurbán is a repository of large amounts of rain generated by colliding air currents. These storehouses are the primary sources of clean water for numerous cities, including the capital, Bogotá; Cali; Medellin; and Bucaramanga, located roughly 25 miles west of Santurbán.
But páramos are special for another reason: Many lie near precious metal deposits and are being targeted for large-scale projects to mine gold and other minerals. Two of the biggest projects on the drawing boards are gold mines planned near Santurbán by Canada-based Eco Oro Minerals and
Colombia’s current president has put the brakes on many mining megaprojects.
Brazil-based AUX, part of the natural resources empire controlled by Brazilian mining and oil billionaire Eike Batista. Desperate for foreign investment, the government of former President Alvaro Uribe granted hundreds of preliminary mining permits from 2002 to 2010, many of them for projects located close to or, some say, within páramo limits. Companies like Eco Oro and AUX have since spent millions of dollars on engineering studies in anticipation of ultimately getting the green light to start mining.
But Colombia’s current president, Juan Manuel Santos, who governs at a time when the Colombian economy is booming, has put the brakes on many mining megaprojects, heeding the concerns of environmentalists and municipal officials that many of the projects would threaten delicate páramo ecosystems and endanger water supplies. Santos has suspended all new mine permitting until environment minister Luz Helena Sarmiento issues new, more precise guidelines, which she is expected to release in coming weeks.
Although Colombian law forbids mining within páramo limits, it is vague on their definition. (Páramo ecosytems — concentrated mainly in the Andean regions of Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, and Venezuela — generally range from about 9,000 feet to 15,000 feet in elevation.) The environment ministry in 2011 commissioned the Alexander von Humboldt Institute, a Bogotá-based biological research foundation partly financed by the government, to come up with a more comprehensive definition of páramos. The Humboldt study, which has not been made public, was presented to Sarmiento late last year.
What could cause miners the greatest headache is if Sarmiento accepts the study’s recommendation that the new páramo definition include a 400-meter (1,300-foot) “belt” or buffer that in effect would expand a páramo by that much altitude below the 9,000-foot elevation now generally considered off limits to mining, according to a Humboldt
Two proposed mines would use a cyanide-leaching process to extract gold, threatening water supplies.
Institute official who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the political sensitivity of the issue. “We are an institute that investigates biodiversity, and so our recommendations went for maximum protection of the páramos,” said the official, a leader of the two-year study. “That’s why we proposed a ‘transition belt’ below the páramo that we knew might impact existing miners.”
The two proposed mining projects near Santurbán have generated enormous controversy, as both almost certainly would use a cyanide-leaching process to extract gold, which could contaminate water supplies as they flow down from the Santurbán páramo. Both the Eco Oro and AUX projects are located less than a mile west and downhill from the páramo. Ecologists fear that chemicals and tailings from the mine could pollute the Angostura River and underground aquifers, and that the impacts of mining in the remote area would inevitably spill over into the Santurbán protected area.
On the other side are business interests and some local residents who want the jobs and economic benefits that the mining projects will generate.
Biologist Santiago Madrinan, a professor at University of the Andes in Bogotá, says that once páramos regions are altered on a large scale, they rarely regain their water storage capacity. A cement plant built in the Chingaza páramo above Bogotá in the 1980s disturbed the ecosystem and has since contributed to increased flooding of Bogotá and other areas, he said.
Randall Scott, a botanist at Northern Arizona University in Flagstaff who studies Andean páramos, noted that mines in or near páramos in other countries have contaminated water supplies and said páramo water is too important for cities to put at risk.
“Water contamination — as has been experienced by folks in Cajamarca, Peru, due to the leach fields associated with the massive gold mine situated
A mining manager says his company has the technology ‘to make sure water quality is not affected.’
directly above that city — is not just going to affect the immediate communities, but everyone downstream,” Scott said. “And the impacts of mining will undoubtedly destroy numerous undocumented plant, insect,and other animal species well beyond the area of immediate impact.” Both AUX and Eco Oro insist that their projects don’t pose threats to Bucaramanga’s water supplies. “There is a lot of disinformation out there, ” Carlos Alberto Londono, sustainability manager of AUX mining, said at the company’s Bucaramanga offices. “We have not finished our hydrological studies, so it’s premature to claim we would affect the water supply.”
Londono also noted that a new dam and reservoir project on the Tomo River will provide Bucaramanga with a major new source of water. “Our project could — but not necessarily — affect 15 percent of the city’s water supply, but we don’t think it will,” he said. “We have all the technology we need to make sure water quality is not affected.”
In an interview, AUX executives said Colombia stands to lose significant economic benefits if mining projects are left in limbo as a result of the pending government guidelines for mining near páramos. They said the gold mine would bring $2.2 billion in investment to the region and employ 3,000 people in its initial phases.
AUX estimates that its mine near the Santurbán páramo contains at least 8 million troy ounces of gold reserves worth more than $10 billion at today’s prices. “The worst part of this process is the uncertainty and the social problems the delays have caused for the people we have had to lay off,” said Londono “We are flexible, but our flexibility has limits.”
Environment Minister Sarmiento’s new guidelines on páramos could derail proposed mining projects elsewhere in Colombia, including AngloGold
Páramos are `species pumps’ where new life forms are established far faster than in most other ecosystems.
Ashanti’s large-scale La Colosa gold mining project in Tolima state, sources said. And her decision will affect others besides mining companies and their employees. Sarmiento must determine how to financially compensate hundreds of Colombian families, mostly farmers, already living on páramos illegally and who presumably will be forced to relocate. Potato and onion farming have been a chief cause of páramo disturbances in Santurbán and elsewhere in Colombia. “She can’t just say mining and farming is prohibited and adios





,” said the Humboldt Institute official, who added that Santurbán farmers produce 80 percent of the region’s onions. “She has to recognize the social complexity of the situation and propose economic alternatives for the people living there. No line, wherever it is drawn, is going to avoid that headache, so her job is not an easy one.”
Although páramos have been recognized by scientists since the 1700s, they are only now starting to attract serious study, and that research has turned up some astounding facts, according to Madrinan at the University of the
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READ MOREAndes. Among the findings is that páramos are “species pumps” where new life forms are established far faster than in most other ecosystems, partly because páramos are constantly expanding and shrinking as climate conditions change. Roughly 5,000 plant species have already been identified in páramos ecosystems, including the pale green, furry frailejón, which aroused the curiosity of Alexander von Humboldt on his visit to Colombia in 1801. Madrinan noted that some páramos are already beginning to shrink as temperatures rise, and that intensifying climate change could further threaten these unique ecosystems.
Francisco Ciri, a Bogotá-based independent biologist, said the expansion of the Santurbán páramo’s limits to include the 400-meter “belt” could very well derail major mining projects. But any new limits, he said, must be accompanied by better government vigilance against illegal mining, which already plagues other parts of Colombia and which often involves powerful criminal gangs and left-wing rebels.
The departure of legal miners from the Santurbán páramo area would almost certainly create a vacuum that would be filled by illicit groups looking to exploit the rich mineral veins on which foreign investors like AUX and EcoOro have staked claims, Ciri said. “You have to assume that criminal activity will increase in an area where there is already high unemployment,” Ciri said.
POSTED ON 24 Apr 2014 IN Biodiversity Business & Innovation Policy & Politics Pollution & Health Sustainability Water Water Asia Central & South America
chris kraulABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Kraul is a Bogotá-based freelance writer who covered Central America and South America for nine years for The Los Angeles Times. His work also has appeared in Barron’s, The International Herald Tribune, and The Chicago Tribune.


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Yale Environment 360 is
a publication of the
Yale School of Forestry
& Environmental Studies.

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Thursday, June 5, 2014

Will Increased Food Production Devour Tropical Forest Lands?

AppId is over the quota
AppId is over the quota
by william laurance
I once stumbled out of a jungle in the Congo Basin and startled two Bantu farmers — both women — tending a small field. I spoke no Bantu and they no French, and so we just stared at each other, a little warily, until one of their toddlers wailed and we all shared a laugh.
For the Bantu, farming has changed little in 3,000 years. The women still work small farming plots made by slashing and burning the rainforest.
View Gallery
Farmers in Gabon
Small-scale farmers, such as these Bantu women in Gabon, have a relatively light impact on the environment.They plant crops like yams and bananas, while their men hunt or talk village politics. It’s a precarious existence, but the slash-and-burn farmers can eke out a living if their numbers are low enough and game abounds in the nearby forest. Increasingly, though, this picture is changing. The Bantu are multiplying quickly, as are many other peoples across Africa. The United Nations’ mid-range population projections for the continent are staggering, with the number of Africans expected to nearly quadruple from 1.1 billion today to 4.2 billion in 2100. Feeding that populace will be an enormous challenge, requiring, among other things, a gigantic boom in agriculture.
The world’s tropical regions will surely be the epicenter of the scramble to increase food production for a global population projected to soar from 7 billion today to 11 billion by the end of the century. The tropics are where crops grow the fastest, where land is often relatively cheap, and where food demand will surge the most. But the rapid agricultural expansion in tropical regions will have profound environmental consequences for rainforests, savannas, and other ecosystems already suffering widespread destruction.
The key question facing agricultural experts, scientists, and conservationists is whether this expansion of food production can be accomplished using a reasonably small area of the tropics, or whether
If we farm as we’ve done in the past, we’d need an area the size of Canada of new farmland.
unsustainable agricultural practices will gobble up large ecosystems in Africa, South America, and Asia. Two colleagues and I recently wrote a major review paper on the dramatic growth of tropical agriculture this century and its likely impacts on ecosystems and biodiversity. It was a sobering exercise. For starters, global food demand is expected to double by 2050. That’s a daunting prospect given that we already farm an area the size of South America and graze livestock over an area the size of Africa. This rising demand is being driven not only by population growth but also by increasing meat, poultry, and dairy consumption in the world’s emerging economies.
How much additional farmland will we need? That, it turns out, is a topic riddled with uncertainties. A research team led by ecologist David Tilman of the University of Minnesota extrapolated linearly into the future, assuming we’d continue farming much as we’ve done in the past. Under those conditions, they estimated, we’ll need around 1 billion hectares of additional farmland — an area the size of Canada.
However, a panel of experts at the U.N. Food and Agricultural Organization produced a far sunnier estimate. They suggested that agricultural yields in developing countries could double by 2050 and that we’ll require just 120 million hectares of additional farmland by mid-century — about the size of South Africa.
Why is the second estimate so much lower? Unlike the first, it assumes agriculture will change profoundly in the coming decades — that, via a Herculean effort, we will continue the remarkable strides in farm production seen during the Green Revolution.
The adherents of this view look at small-scale farming like that practiced by the Bantu farmers and see serious inefficiency — a large gap between how much food is being produced now and what could potentially be grown using modern agrotechnology. They want to turbocharge tropical farming by bringing in investment, fertilizers, machinery, and modern crop varieties, including, potentially, GMOs. They also want to improve irrigation, transportation, and energy infrastructure, and replace small
Low-intensity farms will increasingly be replaced by intensively managed monocultures.
farms with bigger farms and agribusinesses. Forget little plots of bananas and yams — this is about vast fields of soy, oil palm, and sugarcane. Such a dramatic transformation is already happening in many tropical regions and it is probably unavoidable to a degree, because industrial-scale farms unquestionably produce more food per hectare than do small-scale farmers. But what are the implications?
Although they are more efficient, large-scale farms come with well-known environmental costs. Profitable, intensively farmed crops such as oil palm and soy are already expanding rapidly in the tropics, often at the expense of forests. In addition to causing outright habitat destruction, the proliferation of such crops means that human-dominated lands will become more hostile to biodiversity. Low-intensity farms that feature a variety of crops will increasingly be replaced by intensively managed monocultures.
Agricultural intensification will also mean a lot more infrastructure — more roads, railroads, hydroelectric dams, and power lines. Roads are expanding rapidly into the world’s last tropical wildernesses and are bringing with them forest colonists, hunters, gold miners, and land speculators. For instance, dozens of major new ‘growth corridors’ for roads and land development are being planned in sub-Saharan Africa. Tanzania’s central corridor will cut across the country to access gold, copper, and other minerals in central Africa. The Maputo corridor will penetrate into southern Africa for the exploitation of heavy mineral sands. Both will open vast expanses of land to colonization and farming.
Intensifying agriculture could have serious impacts on biodiversity. Large-scale farmlands are likely to create impassable barriers for many species, contributing to the corrosive effects of isolation on wildlife populations. In India, for instance, it’s been shown that tigers can move hundreds of kilometers across landscapes peppered with small-scale farms,
Farming is the main reason that tropical forests have retreated from 17 to 11 million square kilometers.
but it’s difficult to imagine this happening if intensive, large-scale farms were to become the dominant land use there. Already, many nature reserves in the tropics are becoming isolated as expanding human populations and land uses encircle them. In a 2012 study, my colleagues and I showed that tropical forest reserves encircled by hostile, human-dominated lands suffer far more serious losses of biodiversity than do those surrounded by native vegetation. To a degree, the nature reserves act like mirrors — reflecting the biological condition and health of ecosystems around them.
Which tropical regions will be most affected by the coming avalanche of land-use change? Experts see especially dramatic changes ahead for sub-Saharan Africa and South America. Agriculture will expand not only in biodiversity-rich rainforest areas such as the Congo Basin and Amazon, but also in semi-arid ecosystems such as the Pantanal of South America and the Guinea and Miombo savanna-woodlands of Africa — areas also profoundly important for nature. These drier habitats sustain some of the most densely populated wildlife communities in the world, including most of Africa’s iconic large mammals such as savanna elephants, lions, zebras, and giraffes.
In the tropics, much has already been lost to agriculture. Farming is the main reason that tropical forests across the planet have retreated over the past century from 17 million to 11 million square kilometers, with remaining forests projected to shrink by another third by 2050. Forests have been hugely diminished in many tropical regions, such as the
Intensive farming should be concentrated in areas where vegetation has already been cleared.
Brazilian Atlantic forests and the island forests of the Philippines and Madagascar, among many others. Forests in these areas persist mainly as small, isolated fragments that have been overhunted or scarred by fires or logging. There is no getting around the fact that feeding up to 11 billion people is going to have profound effects on tropical nature. What can be done to minimize the impacts?
One key goal, I believe, is to concentrate intensive farming into areas where the native vegetation has already been largely cleared. This would allow farm yields to be increased while hopefully sparing forests and other wildlife habitats for nature conservation.
We’re a long way from achieving this, however, given the rapid and rather chaotic way that agriculture is spreading throughout the tropics. To control the burgeoning footprint of agriculture, we need more stringent and effective land-use zoning and enforcement. This must include efforts to limit road expansion into tropical forests. For this reason, my colleagues and I are currently developing a ‘global road-map’ to help guide road expansion in the future — identifying areas where roads should and should not be allowed, to maximize their benefits for agriculture while minimizing their overall environmental costs.
Our goal is to see this global road map integrated into land-use planning — especially in developing nations, which is where most new roads are being constructed. We plan to promote our scheme via a website that provides easy access to high-resolution zoning maps and alliances with others working internationally on road-planning issues. By proactively identifying
the areas where roads will cause the greatest environmental harm and generate the fewest benefits, we believe we can have a positive influence. Although large-scale agriculture will probably expand a lot, there will still be many millions of small-scale farmers in the tropics. A key goal here is to introduce principles of landscape design and agroecology to make small-scale farming more efficient — raising crop yields and sustainability while also helping them be as nature-friendly as possible.
We must also bear in mind that the 21st century will be a time of enormous change and challenges. How much land gets converted to farming, and what kinds of farming, could ultimately depend on such factors as the amount of land devoted to biofuels and the stability and price of energy supplies, which are crucial for intensive mechanized agriculture. Another wild card is the specter of future climate change and how this will affect farming and nature. And of course a key issue is whether soaring birth rates in places like sub-Saharan Africa can be brought under control through effective family planning.
To counter such uncertainties, phrases such as ‘resilience’ and ‘adaptation’ need to be at the forefront of our thinking. Our great challenge is to forge a future where peoples such as the Bantu and tropical nature can both flourish.
POSTED ON 10 Apr 2014 IN Biodiversity Business & Innovation Forests Policy & Politics Sustainability Sustainability Africa North America
william lauranceABOUT THE AUTHOR
William Laurance is a distinguished research professor and Australian Laureate at James Cook University in Cairns, Australia, and also holds the Prince Bernhard Chair in International Nature Conservation at Utrecht University in the Netherlands. In earlier articles for Yale Environment 360




, he explored the role field biologists can play in deterring poachers and scientists' fight to preserve Borneo's Danum Valley.
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North America Universia partnership
Yale Environment 360 articles are now available in Spanish and Portuguese on Universia, the online educational network.
Visit the site. Mobile The latest
from Yale
Environment 360 is now available for mobile devices at e360.yale.edu/mobile. Warriors of Qiugang
The Warriors of Qiugang, a Yale Environment 360 video that chronicles the story of a Chinese village’s fight against a polluting chemical plant, was nominated for a 2011 Academy Award for Best Documentary (Short Subject). Watch the video.
header image
Top Image: aerial view of Iceland. © Google & TerraMetrics. Colorado River Video
In a Yale Environment 360 video, photographer Pete McBride documents how increasing water demands have transformed the Colorado River, the lifeblood of the arid Southwest. Watch the video.

Yale
View the original article here
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