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Showing posts with label climate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label climate. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 9, 2014

UK infrastructure neglected and at risk from climate change, engineers warn

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Lebenswichtige Infrastruktur, einschließlich Hochwasserschutzanlagen, liegen nun hinter wo sie sein müssen, warnt der Institution of Civil Engineers. Foto: Steve Parsons/PA
Wesentliche Teile der UK-Infrastruktur sind mit potenziell schweren Auswirkungen auf die nationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit und Lebensqualität, nach einer neuen Studie von Ingenieuren vernachlässigt.
Energienetze, Verkehr, Abfall und Wasser sind alle Risiko, während Hochwasserschutzanlagen zurückgefallen sind gut wo sie sein müssen. Dies geschieht während künftige Risiken zu diesen wesentlichen nationalen Dienstleistungen verstärkt werden, wie extremer Wetter unter Klima Änderung ist wahrscheinlich bringen, Überschwemmungen, Dürren, schärferen Stürme und andere mehr unberechenbare Wetter, die wahrscheinlich mehr ernste Herausforderungen zur Infrastruktur als in der Vergangenheit konfrontiert wurden, haben zu bringen sind.
Der Bericht von der Institution of Civil Engineers erstellt eine UK-weiten Punktekarte Einstufung Schwerpunkteder Infrastruktur nach ob es für Zweck geeignet war, benötigt Aufmerksamkeit oder gefährdet war. Die Organisation hat solche "State of the Nation"-Berichte seit 2000 jährlich durchgeführt.
Die Ingenieure fordert Minister beginnen die Probleme anzugehen, um Großbritanniens wirtschaftliche Wettbewerbsfähigkeit, die stützt sich stark auf zuverlässige nationale Infrastruktur zu schützen. Hunderte von Milliarden Pfund sind wahrscheinlich bei den Investitionen in den nächsten zehn Jahren größtenteils in Energie benötigt werden.
Nahverkehr erging es schlimmste bei der Bewertung und Risiko der schwerwiegende Verletzung gerichtet wurde, und die Regierung wurde beraten zu löschen dem Rückstand an wesentlichen Straßenerhaltung eine klare Ausgabe Priorität. Hochwasserschutz wurde auch als auch unter pari, "die Aufmerksamkeit" benotet. Energie gewann auch a C minus Grade in der nach zu urteilen, was bedeutet, dass es auch Regierung Aufmerksamkeit erforderlich, während Abfall Service kam nur geringfügig besser, aber auch die Regierungsintervention. Vielleicht überraschend, war angesichts den weit verbreitete Kritik an Wasserversorgungsunternehmen in der Vergangenheit, die nur wenige Jahre wie Dürren und Überschwemmungen ihren Tribut gefordert haben Wasser einer der zwei höchsten geordneten Dienste, gewinnt ein B, bedeutet es war vorerst für Zweck passen, aber könnte in Zukunft Herausforderungen. Strategische Transportflugzeuge bestehend aus Flughäfen und großen rail Links und Autobahnen – auch kam aus relativ gut, "fürs erste ausreichend" beurteilt.
Letzten Winter Überschwemmungen, die Tausende, die Flucht aus der Heimat im Januar verließ, wurden als Beispiel für die kostspieligen und schädlichen Störungen hervorgehoben, die Haushalte und Unternehmen gleichermaßen treffen können. Viele Menschen und Transport-Strecken sind noch nicht zurück zu Normal. Obwohl solche Naturkatastrophen immer ein Risiko, kann der entstehende Schaden gemindert werden, wenn wesentliche Dienste gut vorbereitet sind und Vorsichtsmaßnahmen ergriffen wurden, um Transport, Kommunikation, Wasser und Energienetze widerstandsfähiger machen, des Berichts sagt.
Das Eis, warnte auch der einen Domino-Effekt, wobei das Scheitern ein Aspekt der Infrastruktur – wie Hochwasserschutzanlagen – dann einen schädlichen Einfluss auf die Energie, Wasser, Verkehr und Abfall-Netzwerken hat. Dies hat nicht ausreichend berücksichtigt wurden bei der Erbringung solcher Dienstleistungen, warnte die Organisation.
Aber die Ingenieure auch anerkannt, dass machen alle Infrastruktur vollständig schalldicht gegen alle möglichen Schocks nicht durchführbar war und Kompromisse zwischen volle Zuverlässigkeit und die Wahrscheinlichkeit eines Schadens vorgenommen werden müssten. Zeichnen diese Linie dürfte immer umstritten sein, und eine der wichtigsten Fragen werden, wie Regierungen direkt vom privaten Sektor, Belastbarkeit in ihre Systeme integrieren. Das kann dauern viele Formen – beispielsweise bietet mehr Strom-Schaltanlagen als notwendig in einem Gebiet sind, für den Fall, dass einige von Überschwemmungen überwältigt werden. Dies erfordert ein Maß an Koordinierung unter den privaten Sektor-Besitzer der Infrastruktur, die viele Experten argumentieren würde heute nicht anwesend ist. ICE sagte es wäre erforderlich, "ganzer ordnungspolitischen Umfelds" eingeführt werden.
Keith Clarke, Vice President bei ICE, legte die Schuld für mangelnde Planung direkt am Fuße der Minister: "die Öffentlichkeit erwarten ein gewisses Maß an Service. Regierung trägt letztlich das Risiko für die zu erwartenden Auswirkungen."
Wie der Klimawandel halten nimmt, solche Ereignisse immer häufiger werden dürften. Aber Münstern wurden versäumt, diese Effekte zu berücksichtigen bei der Planung zukünftiger Hochwasserschutzanlagen vor kurzem scharf kritisiert.
Clarke sagte: "Es wird immer klarer, dass extreme Wetterereignisse häufiger werden, und es ist Zeit, die Faktoren wie Verfügbarkeit, Ausfallsicherheit, und der Domino-Effekt sind verwurzelt in der Kriterien für Entscheidungen, die auf dem Projekte weiter, so dass neue Infrastruktur mehr zukunftssicher ist."
Er warnte, dass "Management von den Erwartungen der Bürger von Verfügbarkeit [Infrastruktur] bei widrigen Bedingungen" entscheidend sein würde. Dies könnte bedeuten, dass Minister zu empfehlen die öffentlichen unangenehmen Wahrheiten ob ihre Grundversorgung zur Verfügung – oder ob ihre Häuser geschützt werden müssen.

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Thursday, July 3, 2014

Extreme weather events official advice so rewritten that climate change link remove

The Government was accused by their official advice on weather extremes to dilute significantly after removing the mention of the relationship between climate change and events such as bushfires and heat waves.
Removed both link a document via the Department of environment website to inform of the public on dangerous climate change weather has influenced an explicit reference.
An earlier version of the document opened with the statement: "there is a growing and robust body of evidence that climate change, the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events will increase.
"Australia has an increasing number and intensity of heat waves, forest fires, floods and droughts experienced in recent decades."
A change of page removes these rows for a general explanation of what is extreme weather.
The page goes to confirm that the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is "change" and "Studies" highlights a link to climate change, but show next, that it "difficult, the role of climate change in each particular case to isolate".
As guardian of Australia reported in October, the previous version of the consulting Department objected to Tony Abbott's view, that no connection between the fires and climate change was "complete rubbish".
The Prime Minister speaks in the aftermath of the widespread new South Wales bushfires last year Christiana Figueres, who chief, was UN climate talks "talk" from her hat for link said increased bushfires as temperatures rise.
Amanda McKenzie, a former officer and now Managing Director of the air guardian Australia, the change said to "softer language" on the link between climate change and extreme weather events had led.
"Live and communities are at risk from forest fires so it is very important that communities and fire fighting are ready services for changes, which we already see", she said.
"It is a common misconception that Australia had always extreme weather so that we do not now should worry, but we see already more extreme weather. Bushfires in Southeast Australia has increased in the last 30 years, and we had just our hottest 12 months on record.
"The evidence is absolutely clear on the link. We know that bushfire conditions getting worse. We need the Government to its word that climate change seriously but inaccurate statements to extreme weather have taken place and it is important that the public is provided with the correct information on these topics."
Asked why the Council was changed, an environment department spokeswoman said: "in the last few months, we have been ready to make the transition from content from the former climate change website on environment.gov.au.
"Is constantly updated the Department for the environment website. The change identifying attempted by the Department to ensure that the Web site information was consistent with the approach of the IPCC in its fifth assessment report."
The IPCC assessment, released in March said there was one mean "high confidence" that extreme weather events "projects will increase in many places" in Australia.
Australia "increased damage to the ecosystems and settlements, economic losses and risks to human life by the most southern Australia wildfires", is at risk according to the report of the IPCC.
Moreover, "Projected increase in heat waves rising deaths and illnesses, especially among the elderly", coastal areas while erosion, landslides and flooding risk increases due to change in weather patterns and sea levels.
Kellie caught, climate change campaigner at the WWF, said: "it is clear the connection between global warming and extreme weather events. In fact, the assessment report reinforced the IPCC Fifth its assessment on the connection between some extreme weather events and global warming.
"It is important that will inform the Australian public about the science of global warming and climate change poses a risk for society, our economy and environment by leading experts such as the IPCC, especially in the face of global warming."
Leader of green, Christine Milne said: "filtration is denial-of-top-down by the public service, the clear link between climate change regardless of whether Tony Abbott is global warming and the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is undeniable.
"The connection is the international scientific consensus. No softening of the language or of the public service to silence the urgency of the strong and sustained measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will change pollution."

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Wednesday, June 18, 2014

New Satellite Boosts Research On Global Rainfall and Climate

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by nicola jones
Climate scientists trying to figure out how fast the world is warming have a hard task on their hands. But, says meteorologist Brian Soden at the University of Miami's Rosenstiel School for Marine and Atmospheric Science, rainfall presents an even tougher nut to crack. "You can be driving down the highway and at one stoplight you’re in sunshine and at the next NASA GPM U.S. and Japanese space agencies released the satellite's first images last month.you’re at a downpour," he sighs. "Temperature isn’t like that."
The vast variability in precipitation over space and time has made it one of the most difficult climate variables to measure. The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has concluded that a warmer world should overall be a rainier one, with wet areas destined to get wetter and dry areas drier. But the certainty in rainfall predictions is frustratingly low. Researchers still don’t know what sorts of clouds lead to what sorts of rain; when and where and how much water evaporates into clouds, thereby moving energy around the globe; or if rainfall really will increase as theory predicts.
Some of that is now set to change thanks to the launch of the joint Japanese-NASA Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) observatory in February. The satellite is the first designed to detect harder-to-spot precipitation, including drizzle and snow, and greatly expands the
Launched in February, the GPM observatory marks a huge step for rainfall measurement.
well-watched part of the planet from the tropics north to Iceland and south to the tip of the Antarctic Peninsula. GPM marks a huge step for rainfall measurement, says Robert Adler, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Maryland and one of NASA’s Precipitation Measurement Missions principal investigators. The resulting data will be made available to disaster relief agencies within 1-3 hours, which should help to get help to areas hit by flash floods. The information will be plugged into basic science questions like what sorts of aerosols make for rainier clouds. And it will extend the currently-short satellite record, says Soden, giving modelers the data they need to validate their predictions. "Modelers better be excited about this," says Gail Skofronick-Jackson, deputy project scientist for GPM at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center. "I’m going to be mad if they’re not."
Measuring rainfall is one of those things that seems deceptively simple. "It sounds really easy, like just putting a bucket out," says Adler. "It is more complicated than that. Globally, it’s been a struggle for a long time to understand how precipitation is distributed."
The gold standard for rainfall measurements are rain gauges, which simply look at the height or weight of water collected in a container. Today there are about 6,000 of these around the world, contributing data to international databases like the Global Precipitation Climatology Project, with some national compilations dating back to the 1860s or earlier. But these records still present problems. Like temperature sensors that are sometimes installed accidentally in the cool shade or near hot slabs of concrete, rain sensors are sometimes placed comically too close to trees that grow and eventually shelter the buckets. Windy days can blow water NASA GPM The GPM observatory greatly expands the areas of Earth where rainfall is monitored.out of the gauges. And, most importantly, the spatial coverage is extremely limited.
There are no rain gauges at sea, for example. And the developing world often has few stations or isn’t inclined to share its data for geopolitical reasons. For instance, where conflicts rage about access to river water passing from one nation to another — as from to India to Pakistan, for example — there may be reasons to keep information about alternative access to freshwater resources from rain under wraps. With gauges alone, says Adler, "we didn’t have good information" for more than 75-80 percent of the planet.
Even the small distance between stations in a densely-monitored region can be problematic. Skofronick-Jackson remembers one field expedition where the researchers just missed a major storm. "In one event we had something like 20 inches of snow," she says, "and all our guys on the ground were sitting there waiting at 2 a.m. for the snow to come through, and they only got a couple of centimeters. They were so sad. Then their car nearly got stuck in the snow getting back to the hotel."
Other tools can help to make up the difference. For example, ground-based radar stations sweep out a horizontal signal that bounces off raindrops to fill in some spatial gaps. But the biggest improvement has come from satellites, which have been collecting data since the 1980s — in particular the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM, pronounced ‘trim’), launched in 1997 by the Japanese Space Agency (JAXA) and NASA, which
Theory says that a warmer world should hold more water in its air.
together also launched the GPM satellite this year. "TRMM was designed to measure tropical rain, which is where most of the interesting science questions were at the time," says Skofronick-Jackson. "Most of that region is ocean, and that’s where the heat comes for convective storms." Researchers keen to know how the heat of the sun, held in by a blanket of carbon dixoide, was pumping energy into earth’s system, needed to know how much water was evaporating at the equator. "You can’t measure the energy movement, but you can measure the water," says Skofronick-Jackson. "That’s climate change right there."
But TRMM — surprisingly still running strong after 17 years of operation — is in an orbit that can only see from 35 degrees north to south, from the Mediterranean Sea to the southern tip of South Africa. And its frequency bands are designed to catch tropical moderate-to-heavy rain, down to about 0.5 millimeters per hour. "It doesn’t account for drizzle, and it doesn’t account for snow," says Skofronick-Jackson.
Thanks to these challenges and the relatively short period of good satellite coverage, climate researchers still have a hard time saying what’s going on with our planet’s precipitation. Theory says that a warmer world should hold more water in its air: about 7 percent more for every degree of warming. That bump in humidity should mean about 1-2 percent more rain per degree of warming, says Adler, but that number is far less certain. And the additional rain should be focused in the areas that are already wet: but that’s a general conclusion that only "holds when you close your eyes and squint" at the map, says Soden — at the local scale it doesn’t necessarily hold water.
In terms of the most basic numbers, TRMM scientists thought they had pinned down the total amount of rainfall falling on our planet each year to within about 5 percent, says Christian Kummerow of Colorado State University, a former project scientist for TRMM. But then more recent
GPM should provide modelers data needed for tuning their climate models to include clouds.
calculations of solar radiation deriving from NASA’s 2006 CloudSat view of cloud cover hinted that those rain estimates might be 10 percent too low. "Whenever I get asked about this I say just wait six months," says Kummerow. GPM should be able to answer this, he says, by expanding the monitored region to 65 degrees N and S. "The poles are a desert, but high latitudes like Seattle and Vancouver — they get a lot of rain," he says — perhaps more than estimated from TRMM data. The more interesting question is whether rainfall is really increasing as the planet warms. The IPCC’s 2013 report looked at four different datasets. None could say, within error, whether rainfall had increased or decreased since the 1950s. "We haven’t seen any strong indication of an increase in precipitation," says Adler. "The models say we should, but we don’t see it yet." In particular, TRMM’s two different rain-measuring instruments gave conflicting results during periods of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), when the world gets slightly warmer: One saw more rain, and the other didn’t. Again, says Kummerow, GPM should be able to sort out which instrument was right.
The only thing the IPCC could say with high confidence is that precipitation over land in the Northern Hemisphere has gone up, with heavy rainfall events getting heavier. Xuebin Zhang of Environment Canada and colleagues recently found that the amount of rain falling in a single deluge day has gone up in the Northern Hemisphere by 3.3 percent
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READ MOREfrom 1951-2005. Climate models haven’t got a good grip on this yet. Soden’s 2008 study, which forged the first link between warmer weather and more powerful rainstorms, found that extreme rainfall events were under-predicted by models. GPM should help through better monitoring of rain droplet size and a 3D view of clouds, with data for every 500 meters of elevation. That will give modelers badly needed data for tuning their climate models to include clouds, says Kummerow, which in turn should help resolve things like predictions of deluges. Overall, says Adler, GPM will be an even bigger step up for rain watchers than was TRMM.
The GPM is now being put through its paces; cleaned up datasets will be available for use by June at the latest, the team says. Still, it will be a while before the new data yield fruit: The decades needed to put observations in context makes data gathering a "slow and tedious process," says Francis Zwiers, director of the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium in Victoria, British Columbia.
"In terms of constraining climate models, what we really need is a long record," says Soden. "GPM is really trying to do that."
POSTED ON 03 Apr 2014 IN Climate Policy & Politics Pollution & Health Science & Technology Urbanization Water North America
nicola jonesABOUT THE AUTHOR
Nicola Jones is a freelance journalist based in Pemberton, British Columbia, just outside of Vancouver. With a background in chemistry and oceanography, she writes about the physical sciences, most often for the journal Nature




. She has also contributed to Scientific American, Globe and Mail, and New Scientist and serves as the science journalist in residence at the University of British Columbia. Previously for Yale Environment 360, she wrote about how rare metal shortages might affect green technologies and the debate on solar geoengineering.


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To Sway the Public, ‘Global Warming’ Beats out ‘Climate Change’

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If politicians and scientists want to convey the urgency and importance of a warming world, they are far better off using the term "global warming" than “climate change,” according to a new report. Produced by researchers at the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication and George Mason University, the report says that Americans are much more familiar with the term “global warming” and that it engenders more negative associations and concern. Based on recent surveys, the report said that — to varying degrees — moderates, women, Hispanics, political independents, and younger Americans associate the term “global warming” with alarming developments such as melting glaciers and extreme weather. Among many groups, “global warming” also creates a greater sense of threat to one’s family and future generations. “Scientists often prefer the term climate change for technical reasons, but should be aware that the two terms generate different interpretations among the general public and specific subgroups,” the report said. The survey found that among Republicans the two terms are generally synonymous.

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Sunday, June 15, 2014

Video Report: Americans on the Front Lines of Climate Change

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A fire chief in Colorado whose department is battling increasingly intense blazes in the American West. A Texas rancher struggling to operate in the face of years of drought. Oyster farmers in Washington state scrambling to adapt to increasingly acidic waters that are damaging their harvests. These Americans are the subjects of videos created by The Story Group, a non-profit journalism initiative. The videos are meant to put a human face on the science behind the recently released National Climate Assessment, which stressed that global warming is already having a major impact on the United States. The first video features Elk Creek, Colorado fire chief Bill McLaughlin, whose department fought a major 2012 wildfire that killed three residents and burned 4,140 acres. “Climate change is very real,” says McLaughlin. “It’s changed my entire life.”

This video focuses on rancher Clay Igo of Plainview, Texas, which has been experiencing a prolonged drought that has taken a heavy toll on ranchers and farmers. “It seems like it’s doin’ nothing but getting hotter, drier, and less rain yearly,” says Igo.

Brittany and Dioni Taylor of Shelton, Washington are fifth-generation oyster farmers now coping with a major threat from ocean acidification, which impedes the ability of oyster larvae to form shells. “This farm has kept our family together — it’s our glue,” says Dioni Taylor. “It would be devastating to lose such a big part of our history.”


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Saturday, June 14, 2014

UN Climate Report Is Cautious On Making Specific Predictions

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by fred pearce
Batten down the hatches; fill the grain stores; raise the flood defenses. We cannot know exactly what is coming, but it will probably be nasty, the latest report from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will warn next week. Global warming will cause wars, displace millions of people, and do trillion-dollar damage to the global economy.
But careful readers will note a new tone to its discussion of these issues that is markedly different from past efforts. It is more humble about what scientists can predict in advance, and far more interested in how societies can make themselves resilient. It also places climate risks much more IPCC cautious predictions The draft IPCC report cites sea level rise and storm surges among eight "key risks."firmly than before among a host of other problems faced by society, especially by the poor. That tone will annoy some for taking the edge off past warnings, but gratify others for providing a healthy dose of realism.
The study, the result of a five-year review of published papers, is from the IPCC’s scientists working on the impacts of climate change. It complements an IPCC study late last year on the planetary science and will be followed next month by another that will focus on what we should do about it.
A leak of the final draft prepared by scientists at the end of October 2013 is circulating. It is not the final version, which will be a summary for policymakers that will be released on March 31, though there is unlikely to be much change. And, since government delegates at international talks in Japan this week will scrutinize the final draft before signing off
Hopes that better science and greater computer power would allow more precise forecasts have often proved wrong.
for publication, what we have is effectively "the scientists’ cut." Past impacts reports from the IPCC were based around attempts to produce detailed forecasts of local climate in future decades and somewhat mechanistic assessments of what this would mean for society. But the new report is much more wary, especially of putting numbers on likely changes. Many previously firm-sounding forecasts have disappeared since the last major IPCC climate-impacts report in 2007, such as spreading droughts and crop losses in Africa and more violent hurricanes in the Atlantic.
The reason for avoiding precise forecasts is twofold. First, overly precise predictions got the authors of the 2007 report into trouble. The most famous faux pas was the claim that Himalayan glaciers would be gone by 2035, when 2350 is a more likely date. But there were other unsubstantiated forecasts, such as that “projected reductions in [crop] yield in some countries [in Africa] could be as much as 50% by 2020” — a misinterpretation of a paper, which was not peer-reviewed, that looked at rain-fed agriculture in just three North African countries.
The hundreds of authors of the draft report have been silent for some time, following IPCC rules by refusing to discuss their draft with journalists. But their chairman, Chris Field of the Carnegie Institution in Stanford, California, told me soon after taking on the job in 2009 that he recognized serious mistakes had been made last time and that he was “committed to sufficient checking and cross-checking to ensure a truly error-free product next time.”
Another reason for the more measured tone is that hopes that better science and greater computer power would allow more precise forecasts than seven years ago have often proved wrong. For parts of the world, model forecasts of regional climate change are diverging rather than converging. The more we know, it seems, the less we know for sure.
Caution is the watchword. Take the treatment of Africa. Last time, the chapter on that continent began with a declaration that up to a quarter of a billion Africans “are projected to be exposed to increased water stress due
The draft report lays out eight ‘key risks,’ including sea level rise and storm surges that could affect hundreds of millions.
to climate change.” This time, the leaked draft states simply that while “a reduction in precipitation is likely over North Africa ... projected rainfall change over sub-Saharan Africa is uncertain.” The draft agrees that “climate change will amplify existing stress on water availability in Africa” and will “very likely" reduce cereal crop productivity. But this time the discussion is not about how big or small those reductions might be, but on how African farmers might cope with less water, through terracing and agroforestry for instance.
Asia has fallen into a similar forecasting limbo. Last time, the IPCC warned that there would be less water in most Asian river basins and up to a billion people could experience “increased water stress” as early as the 2020s. This time, “there is low confidence in future precipitation projections at a subregional level and thus in future freshwater availability in most parts of Asia.” Last time the IPCC predicted “an increase of 10 to 20% in tropical cyclone intensities” in Asia. This time it reports “low confidence in region-specific projections of [cyclone] frequency and intensity.”
Some certainties do remain. The leaked draft suggests growing agreement among climate modelers that Scandinavia and much of Canada will see more precipitation and that the southwestern U.S., southern Australia, the Middle East, southern Europe, and North Africa can expect more droughts and emptier rivers.
Southern Europe looks set to fry, with crops shriveling in the fields, reservoirs emptying, deserts spreading, tourists staying away, and demand for air conditioning going through the roof. Even its vineyards will suffer, though a reference in a March 2013 draft to Venice being “lost forever” beneath the waves has since been removed.
Globally, the draft report lays out eight “key risks”: sea level rise and storm surges in coastal areas that could affect “hundreds of millions... by 2100”; food insecurity for the poor from warming and drought; inland flooding of cities; loss of access to water for drinking and irrigation; breakdown of infrastructure due to extreme events; loss of fisheries, due to a “global redistribution of maximum catch potential”; loss of terrestrial ecosystems such as
The idea that climate change is of an entirely different order to other threats faced by the world has been rooted out.
“forest dieback ... in the next one to three decades”; and extreme heat, especially for the poor in cities. But it asks us to be grown-up about the uncertainties involved in what plays out when. “Responding to climate-related risks involves making decisions and taking actions in the face of continuing uncertainty about the extent of climate change and the severity of impacts in a changing world,” the draft report says. Or as Field put it to journalists in 2010: “Most people spend their lives making decisions under uncertainty, and that’s what dealing effectively with climate change demands — the same kind of decisions you make when you decide to buckle your seatbelt.”
The 2007 report was almost all about the impacts of climate change. Most of this report, and in particular most of the summary for policymakers, is about resilience and adaptation to inevitable climate change.
Central to that new take is setting climate change in a context of other risks, uncertainties and mega-trends such as poverty and social inequality, urbanization, and the globalization of food systems. What some call "climate exceptionalism" — the idea that climate change is something of an entirely different order to other threats faced by the world — has been rooted out. Here climate change is painted as pervasive, since nobody can avoid it wholly, but as usually only one among many pressures, especially on the poor.
“Climate-related hazards constitute an additional burden to people living in poverty, acting as a threat multiplier,” it says. “Vulnerability is rarely due to a single cause.” Even for someone living on a sand spit in coastal Bangladesh, at constant risk of being washed away by rising tides and
On food security, the report is markedly more gloomy than the previous assessment in 2007.
superstorms, the country’s pervasive land inequality may be a bigger threat. Thus climate will exacerbate and amplify pre-existing problems. The report notes how a drought in Australia in 2007 sent global food prices soaring in 2008. But it cannot answer whether we should blame climate change or a dysfunctional food system.
Food security is, nonetheless, one area where the report is markedly more gloomy that its immediate predecessor. The 2007 assessment argued that increases in crop yields in mid-latitudes could offset losses in hotter climates, at least for the next few decades. “Globally,” it said, “the potential for food production is projected to increase with increases in local average temperature over a range of 1-3 degrees C.” But that optimism has faded. The leaked draft forecasts that “local temperature increases of 1 degrees C or more... are projected to negatively impact yields.”
Average yields of major grains could fall by up to 2 percent a decade from here until the end of the century, it predicts. With demand for food crops likely to rise by 14 percent a decade, that sounds a daunting prospect — though it also suggests that climate change is only a small element in the emerging 21st century crisis over global food security.
Some nightmare scenarios are robustly defused. Past IPCC reports have warned that there might be as many as 50 million "climate refugees" around the world, who will flee drought, rising tides and spreading deserts. This report is set to dismiss that idea. “The current alarmist predictions of massive flows of so-called ‘environmental refugees’ are not supported by past experiences of responses to droughts and extreme weather,” the draft
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Has the U.N. Climate Panel
Now Outlived Its Usefulness?

sea level riseSome scientists are saying the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is overly conservative and fails to mention some of the most worrisome possible scenarios. The panel, they contend, is no longer fulfilling its mission of informing policy makers of the risks of global warming.
READ MORE says. “Predictions for future migration flows are tentative at best.” It also points out that migration is a good "coping strategy," often to be encouraged rather than feared. The report may irritate politicians in poor countries who look to blame climate change caused by the rich world for the ills of their people and want to demand reparations. But it may also dismay those who want to cite other factors to “prove” that climate change is never to blame. The world is more complicated, the scientists who prepared the draft conclude. The lesson of their report is that climate change will be implicated in a vast array of global ills, but it will rarely be the sole cause.
Climate change skeptics may want to characterize the report as debunking what they regard as the scaremongering of past reports. They may latch onto statements such as that “for most economic sectors,” factors such as changing demography, technology, lifestyles, and governance “will be large relative to the impacts of climate change.” And the report is, on the face of it, more optimistic than the famous review of the economics of climate change by Britain’s Nicholas Stern in 2006.
Stern put the likely cost to the global economy of warming this century at 5-20 percent of GDP. The new IPCC draft says that a global average temperature increase of 2.5 degrees from pre-industrial levels may lead to a global loss of income of between 0.2 and 2 percent.
But if Americans think this puts them in a good position, they are wrong. While the report is silent on whether there might be more or stronger hurricanes hitting North America from the Atlantic (and “Katrina aside,” saw no trend in U.S. hurricane deaths since 1970), it states that “much of North American infrastructure is currently vulnerable to extreme weather events.”
The message is clear. We may not be able to make hard and fast predictions, but prudency requires that we prepare for the worst.
POSTED ON 24 Mar 2014 IN Business & Innovation Climate Energy Policy & Politics Urbanization Urbanization Water North America
fred pearceABOUT THE AUTHOR
Fred Pearce is a freelance author and journalist based in the UK. He serves as environmental consultant for New Scientist




magazine and is the author of numerous books, including The Land Grabbers. In previous e360 articles, Pearce has reported on a little-known nonprofit that is trying to hold corporations to their sustainability commitments and whether climate change is altering the jet stream and winter weather.
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Devour Tropical Forest Lands?

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New Weapon in Climate Fight?

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The degradation of soils from unsustainable agriculture and other development has released billions of tons of carbon into the atmosphere. But new research shows how effective land restoration could play a major role in sequestering CO2 and slowing climate change.

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Is Weird Winter Weather
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Scientists are trying to understand if the unusual weather in the Northern Hemisphere this winter — from record heat in Alaska to unprecedented flooding in Britain — is linked to climate change. One thing seems clear: Shifts in the jet stream play a key role and could become even more disruptive as the world warms.

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Monday, June 9, 2014

A Blueprint to End Paralysis Over Global Action on Climate

AppId is over the quota
AppId is over the quota
by timothy e. wirth and thomas a. daschle
International deal-making fundamentally hinges on assessments of national self-interest by the parties involved. This seemingly obvious statement both explains the persistent failure of the global climate change negotiations and offers a pathway to success.
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change — agreed in Rio in 1992 and ratified by 195 countries, including the United States — was premised from its very first words on the idea that “change in the Copenhagen climate conference The 2009 Copenhagen climate conference demonstrated the difficulty of reaching an international treaty.earth’s climate and its adverse effects are a common concern of humankind.” It sought to organize global action to address a threat to the global commons — the atmosphere and climate system on which all life on earth depends. Such global action, however, depends on national governments, whose first responsibility is to their own people and well-being. For that reason, the climate negotiations have faltered. Nations could not agree on who is to blame, on how to allocate emissions, or on projections for the future. Many have argued that emissions limits are inimical to their short-term economic interests. Some depend on fossil fuel production, and others perceive fossil fuel development as the only route out of extreme poverty, even as others have begun to pursue a more sustainable future.
Meanwhile, reports about climate change science are increasingly gloomy. Vast systemic change is more apparent every year, and the latest reports from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), as well as this month’s National Climate Assessment in the U.S., bring even more bad news.
Fortunately, environmental transformation and technological change are not waiting for this paralysis of political agreement to end. Cleaner energy sources — renewable energy, especially wind and solar, as well as the least carbon-intensive fossil fuel, natural gas — are increasing their penetration
This plan would change the psychology of climate change from one of burden to opportunity.
of the world’s energy markets, too slowly but with increasing momentum. Electronic sensors and controls are enabling better management of energy demand and more intelligent energy use — a catalytic change. Coal remains globally dominant, but without widespread deployment of carbon capture technologies, its days are probably numbered. Cleaner alternatives are advancing in part because of concerns about climate change, but more importantly because technological progress is making them more attractive, economically and politically. What once seemed a mirage is becoming a reality: The world can now glimpse the prospect of an economy largely dependent on abundant, inexhaustible, affordable clean energy. We are in the early stages of a global race to supply a set of new technologies and scalable systems — likely the largest economic opportunity of the 21st century.
These changes are becoming more clearly recognized and understood, but the current negotiating framework is not designed to encourage each nation to pursue them based on its own interests and national advantages. We think the time has come for the international community to alter its collective climate strategy, cease the search for the impossible all-encompassing top-down agreement — described unattractively as “burden sharing” — and instead encourage an approach that builds on national self-interest and spurs a “race to the top” in low-carbon energy solutions. This would change the psychology of the climate change issue from one of burden to opportunity, and change the likely outcome from one of hand-wringing about failure to excitement about tangible action to build a better world. This is the lens through which to view the prospects for a new climate agreement at international talks in Paris in 2015.
A new agreement should recognize that a simple one-formula-fits-all framework is not feasible: We don’t know how to allocate emissions among nations, the global economy makes this impossible anyway, and the early differentiation between developed and developing economies is no longer valid. Instead, a new start is needed, based in part on what has been called “pledge and review”: Nations will pledge concrete steps to reduce their carbon emissions and periodically submit their progress to the international community for review.
Rather than strive for an elusive, binding global treaty, the idea is to encourage countries to make strong national commitments in their own economic self-interest and then roll those up in the Paris agreement, which would not take the form of a treaty and thus would not need to be ratified. Countries would be motivated to take these actions in response to competition, both economic and political; international peer pressure; and the aspirations of their own people. The overarching goal is to spur national action to bend the carbon curve downward in a meaningful and measurable fashion, giving greater certainty to the private sector to innovate and invest in low-carbon technologies. This is the world’s best option for accelerating progress and averting catastrophic climate change.

In the 17 years since the signing of the Kyoto Protocol, very little movement has occurred. The U.S. Senate failed to ratify the treaty largely because of fears that emissions limits would unfairly harm certain sectors of the economy, and developed and developing countries have been at odds over historical responsibility for emissions. Globally, limits on emissions seemed to be limits on prosperity and growth, and the defenders of the status quo — powerful industry groups, concentrations of sovereign wealth, and ideological warriors — argued that climate activists were seeking to
The shift to a low-carbon economy is occurring even without a legally binding global agreement.
sabotage the modern industrial economy. Happily, technological progress is defusing that argument as the passage of time and the increased intensity of climate impacts make the need for concerted action ever more urgent. Public and private investment in research, development, and deployment of clean energy technologies is yielding results.
This shift to a low-carbon economy is occurring even without the Holy Grail of most climate negotiators — a new “legally binding” global agreement. Countries, states, cities, and companies are taking action, partly out of concern about climate change, but also because such action is in their own economic interest — either directly (through money-saving efficiency measures like LED street lights) or indirectly (by saving lives now cut short by air pollution). As the market for low-carbon technologies expands, they will improve further in performance and price and become even more competitive.
While the higher initial capital cost of clean energy technologies remains a hurdle, over time the lack of fuel costs for renewable energy (such as sunlight or wind) is the offsetting cost variable. The cost savings from energy efficiency similarly produce a predictable and attractive rate of return. Indeed, one recent survey found that investments in low-carbon solutions generate a positive return of 33 percent. On the other side of the equation, it has long been recognized that the price of fossil fuels does not reflect their many external costs, including air pollution, political and security risks, and damage from climate change.
China’s recent history exemplifies both the historic tension between development and climate and a pathway to reconcile them. Coal fueled the country’s remarkable economic growth but also produced unhealthy air and intolerable environmental damage. In response, China’s leaders are engineering a serious shift toward wind and solar energy, greater energy efficiency, and development of shale gas, based on political and economic self-interest. This reversal may lead to greater alignment on climate policy among China, the United States, and the European Union and also influence other developing countries.
Through these examples and many others, a new path is emerging toward accelerated progress on climate change, based on a theme of opportunity as the shift to renewables and increased efficiency produces new businesses, more jobs, cleaner air and water, and better public health. The political reality is that countries increasingly will see that this path is in their own self-interest. They should be encouraged to compete for advantage in a race to the top, rather than bicker over emissions limits.

The Paris climate conference, scheduled for December 2015, is the setting for action on a new long-term global agreement. Central to success will be four principal elements. The first is an affirmation of global objectives. Nations should reassert the world’s commitment — first stated in the 1992 Framework Convention — to “prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system,” as well as the agreement in the 2009 Copenhagen Accord to limit the increase in global temperatures to 2 degrees C. They should link this vision to specific and measurable national commitments that will signal a global turn from words to action and a new can-do attitude for addressing climate change.
The second is making those national commitments to emissions reductions. As an interim step, heads of state at the Climate Summit in September 2014 in New York City should discuss and affirm this new approach as the central direction for the Paris negotiators. They should be
A coordinated global price on carbon should be considered after 2020 if progress is inadequate.
encouraged to outdo each other with new and stronger commitments to specific actions in each of the four “building block” areas agreed in the 2007 Bali Action Plan — mitigation, adaptation, technology, and finance. In that way, they can position themselves as investing in the emerging clean energy economy, as protecting their farmers and others who depend on a predictable climate, and as caretakers of future generations — consistent with their own national self-interest. By the time of the Paris conference in 2015, all countries should have clearly stated five-year commitments for 2020 and long-term goals — with reviewable interim milestones — for the period beyond 2020. This building block strategy is building momentum. The United States has been advocating a bottom-up approach since Copenhagen, and at talks in Warsaw last November countries were invited to communicate their intended contributions to emissions reduction by the first quarter of 2015. The largest immediate impact will come from reducing powerful but relatively short-lived pollutants, like black carbon (especially soot from cooking fires), methane, and HFCs (hydrofluorocarbons, used in cooling equipment), and by stabilizing the world’s forest cover. Such steps can be taken relatively inexpensively through partnerships that can include coalitions of companies as well as governments.
As a third element of the package, leaders in Paris must agree to a systemic review of their emissions reductions pledges. It is unlikely that the Paris commitments by themselves will immediately put the world on a trajectory consistent with the 2 degrees C target. For that reason, negotiators must set up a review process through which an international body like the IPCC would monitor progress and report back at three-year intervals. There is no appetite yet in the international community for a mechanism to force action by countries that offer weak pledges or none at all. Both carrots and sticks — participation in a global carbon trading system, for example, or the imposition of border tax penalties based on carbon pricing — are options that could be considered in the future. A coordinated global price on carbon — the most economically efficient path to reduce emissions — should be considered after 2020 if progress is deemed inadequate. Considerable political obstacles remain, but leading companies — from Google to ExxonMobil — are preparing for this eventuality by adopting internal carbon prices for use in making investment decisions.
Finance is the final key to a global deal. At Copenhagen in 2009, the United States memorably pledged that developed countries would mobilize $100 billion a year in climate change assistance for the rest of the world by 2020.
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READ MOREAt a time of fiscal retrenchment in the West, the chance of that pledge being met in the form of additional development assistance is approximately zero. The pledge is eminently achievable, however, in the context of global energy investment, which has an annual flow a dozen times as large as the amount pledged in Copenhagen. The capital needed for a global shift to low-carbon energy systems can be mobilized from highly liquid but risk-averse institutional investors, such as pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds, which have assets of more than $80 trillion. The way to attract these funds is to engage public finance entities as partners to reduce investment risk, particularly in developing countries, and ensure safe, predictable returns.
Whether driven by a price on carbon, a reduction in fossil fuel subsidies, or continuing technological innovation, national action and large-scale investment to transform the world’s energy systems can initiate a more optimistic era of concrete progress on climate change. Combined with a compelling global vision, public-private collaboration, and a pledge to return to the negotiating table at regular intervals until success is achieved, this is a strong and forward-looking package that could be agreed in Paris in 2015. It would deliver what, more than anything else, the world needs — a decision to act, not just negotiate. It might even be led by the world's two largest emitters of CO2 — the United States and China. It is already consistent with the U.S. position, China appears ready to bring forward new commitments, and the two countries are actively collaborating on climate and energy in a number of ways.
Whether such steps will be enough to avert climate catastrophe remains unclear. Even if the major industrialized economies were able to reduce their emissions completely, the prognosis for the earth’s atmosphere would still be grim if resource-rich developing countries do not change course. What Paris can do is help accelerate the pace of technological adoption and change, toward the day when the cleanest energy sources are also the cheapest and thus become dominant. The payoff will be improved public health and increased economic well-being. Most importantly, the global climate will be prevented from going off the rails.
POSTED ON 19 May 2014 IN Business & Innovation Climate Climate Energy Policy & Politics Science & Technology North America
timothy e. wirth and thomas a. daschleABOUT THE AUTHORS
Timothy E. Wirth (left) is the vice chairman of the board of the United Nations Foundation and the Better World Fund. A former U.S. senator and representative from Colorado, Wirth served as the UN Foundation’s president from 1997 to 2013. Thomas A. Daschle (right) is a senior policy advisor at DLA Piper, a business law firm. Formerly a U.S. senator from his home state of South Dakota, Daschle is the only senator to have served twice as both majority and minority leader.


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As part of the sorely-needed aid package to help victims of Hurricane Sandy, Congress is also considering spending billions on ill-advised and environmentally damaging beach and coastal rebuilding projects that ignore the looming threats of rising seas and intensifying storms.

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In a Yale Environment 360 video, photographer Pete McBride documents how increasing water demands have transformed the Colorado River, the lifeblood of the arid Southwest. Watch the video.

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View the original article here

Saturday, June 7, 2014

Soil as Carbon Storehouse: New Weapon in Climate Fight?

AppId is over the quota
AppId is over the quota
by judith d. schwartz
In the 19th century, as land-hungry pioneers steered their wagon trains westward across the United States, they encountered a vast landscape of towering grasses that nurtured deep, fertile soils.
Today, just three percent of North America’s tallgrass prairie remains. Its disappearance has had a dramatic impact on the landscape and ecology of
The world’s cultivated soils have lost 50 to 70 percent of their original carbon stock.
the U.S., but a key consequence of that transformation has largely been overlooked: a massive loss of soil carbon into the atmosphere. The importance of soil carbon — how it is leached from the earth and how that process can be reversed — is the subject of intensifying scientific investigation, with important implications for the effort to slow the rapid rise of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. According to Rattan Lal, director of Ohio State University’s Carbon Management and Sequestration Center, the world’s cultivated soils have lost between 50 and 70 percent of their original carbon stock, much of which has oxidized upon exposure to air to become CO2. Now, armed with rapidly expanding knowledge about carbon sequestration in soils, researchers are studying how land restoration programs in places like the polar jet stream Soil in a long-term experiment appears red when depleted of carbon (left) and dark brown when carbon content is high (right).former North American prairie, the North China Plain, and even the parched interior of Australia might help put carbon back into the soil.
Absent carbon and critical microbes, soil becomes mere dirt, a process of deterioration that’s been rampant around the globe. Many scientists say that regenerative agricultural practices can turn back the carbon clock, reducing atmospheric CO2 while also boosting soil productivity and increasing resilience to floods and drought. Such regenerative techniques include planting fields year-round in crops or other cover, and agroforestry that combines crops, trees, and animal husbandry.
Recognition of the vital role played by soil carbon could mark an important if subtle shift in the discussion about global warming, which has been
A look at soil brings a sharper focus on potential carbon sinks.
heavily focused on curbing emissions of fossil fuels. But a look at soil brings a sharper focus on potential carbon sinks


. Reducing emissions is crucial, but soil carbon sequestration needs to be part of the picture as well, says Lal. The top priorities, he says, are restoring degraded and eroded lands, as well as avoiding deforestation and the farming of peatlands, which are a major reservoir of carbon and are easily decomposed upon drainage and cultivation.
He adds that bringing carbon back into soils has to be done not only to offset fossil fuels, but also to feed our growing global population. "We cannot feed people if soil is degraded," he says.
"Supply-side approaches, centered on CO2 sources, amount to reshuffling the Titanic deck chairs if we overlook demand-side
solutions: where that carbon can and should go," says Thomas J. Goreau, a biogeochemist and expert on carbon and nitrogen cycles who now serves as president of the Global Coral Reef Alliance. Goreau says we need to seek opportunities to increase soil carbon in all ecosystems — from tropical forests to pasture to wetlands — by replanting degraded areas, increased mulching of biomass instead of burning, large-scale use of biochar, improved pasture management, effective erosion control, and restoration of mangroves, salt marshes, and sea grasses.
"CO2 cannot be reduced to safe levels in time to avoid serious long-term impacts unless the other side of atmospheric CO2 balance is included," Goreau says.
Scientists say that more carbon resides in soil than in the atmosphere and all plant life combined; there are 2,500 billion tons of carbon in soil, compared with 800 billion tons in the atmosphere and 560 billion tons in plant and animal life. And compared to many proposed geoengineering fixes, storing carbon in soil is simple: It’s a matter of returning carbon where it belongs.
Through photosynthesis, a plant draws carbon out of the air to form carbon compounds. What the plant doesn’t need for growth is exuded through the roots to feed soil organisms, whereby the carbon is humified, or rendered stable. Carbon is the main component of soil organic matter and helps give soil its water-retention capacity, its structure, and its fertility. According to Lal, some pools of carbon housed in soil aggregates are so stable that they can last thousands of years. This is in contrast to "active" soil carbon,
'If we treat soil carbon as a renewable resource, we can change the dynamics,' says an expert.
which resides in topsoil and is in continual flux between microbial hosts and the atmosphere. "If we treat soil carbon as a renewable resource, we can change the dynamics," says Goreau. "When we have erosion, we lose soil, which carries with it organic carbon, into waterways. When soil is exposed, it oxidizes, essentially burning the soil carbon. We can take an alternate trajectory."
As basic as soil carbon is, there’s much scientists are just learning about it, including how to make the most of its CO2 sequestration capacity. One promising strategy, says Goreau, is bolstering soil microbiology by adding beneficial microbes to stimulate the soil cycles where they have been interrupted by use of insecticides, herbicides, or fertilizers. As for agroforestry, programs with greater species diversity are better able to maximize the storage of carbon than monocultures. Many researchers are looking to biochar — produced when plant matter, manure, or other organic material is heated in a zero- or low-oxygen environment — for its ability to turn problem areas into productive sites while building soil carbon. Says Goreau, "Vast areas of deforested land that have been abandoned after soil degradation are excellent candidates for replanting and reforestation using biochar from the weeds now growing there."
An important vehicle for moving carbon into soil is root, or mycorrhizal, fungi, which govern the give-and-take between plants and soil. According to Australian soil scientist Christine Jones, plants with mycorrhizal connections can transfer up to 15 percent more carbon to soil than their non-mycorrhizal counterparts. The most common mycorrhizal fungi are marked by threadlike filaments called hyphae that extend the reach of a plant, increasing access to nutrients and water. These hyphae are coated with a sticky substance called glomalin, discovered only in 1996, which is instrumental in soil structure and carbon storage. The U.S. Department of Agriculture advises land managers to protect glomalin by minimizing tillage and chemical inputs and using cover crops to keep living roots in the soil.
In research published in Nature

in January, scientists from the University of Texas at Austin, the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, and Boston University assessed the carbon and nitrogen cycles under different mycorrhizal regimens and found that plants linked with fruiting, or mushroom-type, fungi stored 70 percent more carbon per unit of nitrogen in soil. Lead author Colin Averill, a fourth-year graduate student at the University of Texas, explains that the fungi take up organic nitrogen on behalf of the plant, out-competing soil microorganisms that decompose organic matter and release carbon. He says this points to soil biology as a
Our understanding of how soil life affects the carbon cycle is poised for tremendous growth.
driver of carbon storage, particularly "the mechanisms by which carbon can stay in the ground rather than going into the atmosphere."
One implication of this research, says Goreau, is that "the effect of most landscape alterations is to convert them from systems that store carbon efficiently ... toward ones that are inefficient in the use of nitrogen, and as a result are losing carbon storage." By landscape alterations, he means from forest to cropland, or from small farms to industrial agriculture operations that use the chemicals that inhibit the mycorrhizal and microbial interactions that store carbon.
Our understanding of soil microbiology and how soil life affects the carbon cycle is poised for tremendous growth, says Goreau. This, he says, is thanks to the burgeoning field of metagenomics, the study of genetic material from specimens taken directly from the environment rather than cultured in a lab. "For the first time," says Goreau, "we can identify all major soil biogeochemical pathways from the genetic information in the microbes."
Even at our current level of knowledge, many see great potential for storing carbon in soil. Lal of Ohio State says that restoring soils of degraded and desertified ecosystems has the potential to store in world soils an additional 1 billion to 3 billion tons of carbon annually, equivalent to roughly 3.5 billion to 11 billion tons of CO2 emissions. (Annual CO2 emissions from fossil fuel burning are roughly 32 billion tons.)
Many call Lal’s carbon soil storage figures low. This could reflect the fact that soil carbon is generally measured in the top 15 to 30 centimeters, whereas soil at depth may store carbon at much higher rates. For example, in land with deep-rooted grasses the soil can go down five meters or more. Research by Australian and British scientists published last year in the journal Plant and Soil
examined soils in five southwestern Australia sites
MORE FROM YALE e360
As Uses of Biochar Expand,
Climate Benefits Still Uncertain

BiocharResearch shows that biochar made from plant fodder and even chicken manure can be used to scrub mercury from power plant emissions and clean up polluted soil. The big question is whether biochar can be produced on a sufficiently large scale to slow or reverse global warming.
READ MOREat depths as great as nearly 40 meters. These findings add impetus to explore strategies such as working with deep-rooted perennial grasses to secure carbon at depth.
Those who champion soil carbon for climate mitigation frequently look to grasslands, which cover more than a quarter of the world’s land. According to the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization, grasslands also hold 20 percent of the world’s soil carbon stock. Much of this land is degraded, as evidenced in the U.S. Great Plains and places like northern Mexico, Africa’s Sahel, and Mongolia.
Seth Itzkan — founder of Massachusetts-based Planet-TECH Associates, a consulting firm specializing in restoration ecology — advocates Holistic Planned Grazing (HPG), a model developed by Zimbabwean wildlife biologist Allan Savory. In this practice, livestock are managed as a tool for large-scale land restoration, mimicking the herding and grazing patterns of wild ruminants that coevolved with grassland ecosystems. Animals are moved so that no plants are overgrazed, and grazing stimulates biological activity in the soil. Their waste adds fertility, and as they move in a herd their trampling aerates soil, presses in seeds, and pushes down dead plant matter so it can be acted upon by soil microorganisms. All of this generates soil carbon, plant carbon, and water retention. Savory says HPG doesn’t require more land — in fact it generally supports greater animal density — so it can be applied wherever livestock are raised.
In Australia, which has been suffering extreme heat and wildfires, policy-makers are taking seriously programs that build and stabilize soil carbon. The action plan Regenerate Australia outlines a strategy to restore up to 300 million hectares (740 million acres). A core goal is attaining previous soil carbon levels by introducing more sustainable grazing, farming, and water-retention practices.
Says Rattan Lal: "Soils of the world must be part of any agenda to address climate change, as well as food and water security. I think there is now a general awareness of soil carbon, an awareness that soil isn’t just a medium for plant growth."
POSTED ON 04 Mar 2014 IN Business & Innovation Climate Science & Technology Science & Technology Sustainability Water North America
judith d. schwartzABOUT THE AUTHOR
Judith D. Schwartz is a freelance writer based in southern Vermont who has written on ecology and economics for Scientific American, Conservation, Time, and Pacific Standard. Her most recent book is Cows Save the Planet and Other Improbable Ways of Restoring Soil to Heal the Earth.


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Yale Environment 360 is
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Yale School of Forestry
& Environmental Studies.

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Europe
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North America Universia partnership
Yale Environment 360 articles are now available in Spanish and Portuguese on Universia, the online educational network.
Visit the site. Mobile The latest
from Yale
Environment 360 is now available for mobile devices at e360.yale.edu/mobile. Warriors of Qiugang
The Warriors of Qiugang, a Yale Environment 360 video that chronicles the story of a Chinese village’s fight against a polluting chemical plant, was nominated for a 2011 Academy Award for Best Documentary (Short Subject). Watch the video.
header image
Top Image: aerial view of Iceland. © Google & TerraMetrics. Colorado River Video
In a Yale Environment 360 video, photographer Pete McBride documents how increasing water demands have transformed the Colorado River, the lifeblood of the arid Southwest. Watch the video.

Yale
View the original article here
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